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This week at APLN, Sverre Lodgaard writes on how Russia, the US, and China are adapting their war-fighting doctrines. We feature new language translations of the executive summary from our report on Practical Policies to Prevent Nuclear Catastrophe in Northeast Asia, and share details of our upcoming webinar with Van Jackson and others to discuss the report.
Recent activities from our network include analysis on Vietnam’s foreign policy, a South China Sea Code of Conduct, North Korea’s new unification policy, and more. |
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Preparations for Nuclear War-Fighting
and the Demise of Arms Control
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In this policy brief, Sverre Lodgaard analyses the evolving war-fighting doctrines of the United States, Russia, and China. He points out that US and Russian war-fighting preparations now include theatre-level nuclear and conventional forces with indications that China is moving in a similar direction. He argues that the world is more dangerous than it has ever been in the nuclear age.
This policy brief was published jointly by APLN and the Toda Peace Institute. |
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What Should Be Done?
Practical Policies to Prevent Nuclear Catastrophe
Executive summary translations
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Last week, we published the final report from our nuclear use risk reduction project, What Should Be Done? Practical Policies to Prevent Nuclear Catastrophe, written by Van Jackson. The report assesses nuclear risk in Northeast Asia and prescribes a series of pragmatic policy recommendations for the governments of Japan, South Korea, the United States, China, and North Korea to avert nuclear use in the region.
The executive summary for the report is now available in English, Chinese, Russian, Korean, and Japanese. It includes an overview of the three-year project and its findings, as well as the full list of 22 policy recommendations, shortened to one sentence each. |
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Read the executive summary:
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On Wednesday 23 April, from 09:00 to 10:30 (KST), Van Jackson will be joined by experts to discuss the report, What Should Be Done? Practical Policies to Prevent Nuclear Catastrophe, to explain the analysis, key findings, and policy recommendations.
To join us at this webinar, please click here to register. |
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| In the first year of the project, thirty hypothetical scenarios of nuclear weapons use were developed for the period between 2025 and 2030. These scenarios focused on conflicts in Northeast Asia involving the DPRK, the United States, China, Russia, and non-state actors. |
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| In the second year, five of the cases identified in the first year were simulated and analysed, providing estimates of fatalities and health effects resulting from nuclear detonations, including thermal fluence, firestorms, blast overpressure, prompt or immediate radiation exposure, radiation exposure from fallout, and cancer deaths caused by biological radiation. |
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APLN has over 150 members from 22 countries in the Asia-Pacific.
Each week we feature their latest contributions
to global and regional security debates.
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| Marty Natalegawa, APLN Chair and former Foreign Minister of Indonesia, is quoted in Bernama, where he comments that negotiations for the COC have been ongoing for several years, underscoring the heightened necessity for its establishment at this juncture. |
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| Chung-in Moon, APLN Vice Chair, writes in his opinion column for The Hankyoreh on how North and South Korea can move toward an amicable and friendly relationship, setting the stage for a peaceful reunification through consensus. |
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| Manpreet Sethi, APLN Senior Research Adviser, analyses why India is steadfast on its nuclear power programme, though it is currently contributing only about 2% to the electricity share, and compares it with Germany’s decision to phase out nuclear energy. |
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| Rajaram Panda, former Senior Fellow at the Nehru Memorial Museum and Library, argues that with tensions between Washington and Beijing continuing, Vietnam faces a complex balancing act as it improves ties with Washington but seeks not to irreparably alienate Beijing. |
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| Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan, Director of the Centre for Security, Strategy & Technology (CSST) at the Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi, points out that with tensions persisting on the Sino-Indian border, Delhi’s efforts to bolster its infrastructure in critical areas continues. |
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